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Marmot capstone 6 for sale advantages of the capstone approach oito meio fellini critical thinking so because 96 came in instead of 98 there was about a 200 million dollar problem in 07 now the economy not only slowed in its growth it leveled out and started to go down and in 2008 instead of getting 10.1 billion in revenue they became apparent pretty quickly that they were only going to get 9.1 billion so now there was a 1 billion dollar problem in 08 they got 91 instead of 10 1 and they had a 200 million dollar problem here they had a 1.2 billion dollar problem in 08 and how did they address it first they took five hundred million dollars out of the rainy day fund there were seven hundred in there so they took five hundred out then they did what are called fund sweeps for about three hundred million dollars remember back on our other presentation we had the white boxes that were other funds the state has dozens of these other funds I call him shoe boxes of money that are collected from specific activities around the state but the money that is collected is usually supposed to be spent on those activities for example years ago someone figured out that of all the gasoline sold in the state of Arizona some small portion of it is used by boats on our lakes and rivers so they carved out a small portion of the gasoline taxes and they put those each year into the state lake improvement fund so that whenever we need to build new boat ramps and whatever there's some money in there so the money builds up over time and then when you have to do a special project you take some money out of there and build it every time you pay your phone bill one of the taxes down at the bottom is a tax that goes into the emergency phone system the 911 fund so that we can maintain the 911 one phone system every time you buy a gallon of gas or diesel you pay a penny a gallon into the underground storage tank fund that helps clean up leaking underground tanks and things like that so there's money that's collected in the airline in the airport industry that's supposed to be spent on airport so there's all these little different funds in state government and at any given time money is going into and there might be five million dollars in one fund and ten million in another 20 min another and they're supposed to be saved for spending on those types of activities but if the legislature and the governor getting a pickle they can sweep money out of those funds and bring it into the budget and make it look like that was money that we got this year and use it for spending the next thing they did is an accounting maneuver called the k-12 roll over the monies that go out to the k-12 school districts these yellow monies that are sent out to the district's essentially go out in monthly payments and remember that the state year accounting year ends in june on june thirtieth well the state uses what's called a cash accounting system which means that it only has to recognize that it had an expense if it's actually written the check for that expense well the k-12 rollover is an accounting mechanism we're basically instead instead of sending the check out to all the school districts on june the 15th if you wait 16 days and send the check out on July the first that check is now in the next fiscal year and it makes it look like instead of having mailed out 12 payments this year you only mailed out 11 so it looks like your expenses are less this year the next year but what does it do to next year puts 13 payments in next year but the first year you do that little maneuver on paper it makes you look like you picked up three hundred million dollars because you didn't send those checks out until after the year ended so they help to solve the 1.2 billion dollar problem by doing the account maneuver the k-12 roll over and then they did about a hundred million dollars in cuts although 55 million this was not cutting spending they just paid for one of the department's out of some other monies instead of paid for it out of the general fund so it was really only about 45 million of cuts but even if we count the whole hundred million of cuts they only got spending down to about ten and a half instead of 10.6 so you can see that we're starting to have a structural problem here we got nine coming in a little over nine coming in and ten and a half going out and we've used these one-time monies or accounting maneuvers and a few cuts to make this year look balanced but it really isn't in fact when they finally got to counting all of the money that actually came in in 2008 it wasn't 9.1 it was 8.8 at this point when they started to build the 09 budget the budget estimators either assumed or hoped or something that surely the economic crisis is at the bottom and things are going to get better because in 2009 the estimated revenues to be 9.1 billion they thought 8.8 surely couldn't get worse than that we're going to go back up to nine point one problem is they put in place spending of 11.1 okay and how did they do that well they borrowed 525 million dollars from the school facilities board they did another 325 million dollars of those fund sweeps from the shoe boxes they did another k-12 roll over so now instead of delaying June's payment into the next year they're also doing June and maize payment into the next year they did another hundred million dollars of shifting the Department of Public Safety over to the highway monies they took the next to the last hundred million dollars out of the rainy day fund and they said they did about four hundred million dollars in cuts but I think some of those were similar to this they were really not cutting spending they were just paying for it with monies from other funds but even if we credit all 400 million of the spending cuts maybe 11 one was brought down to ten seven the problem is the economy didn't get better and instead of 9.1 coming in eight was coming in as of January of 2009 and now that februari has reported it's actually looking closer to about 7.6 so there's a three billion dollar problem in 09 and all of the safety nets are gone this is what Governor Brewer and the new legislature inherited and found themselves in the dilemma of now they did just a few weeks ago in early februari they did a special budget session they cut about four or five hundred million dollars they did some more sweeps out of the little shoe boxes they planned on receiving about 500 million from the federal stimulus monies and so they we hope that the efforts that they made will keep 09 balanced but that will barely get us through 09 and then we're left with a real significant structural problem where the revenue is coming in the seven and a half range spending is still up at the ten and a half range as we showed in the yellow boxes and so there's almost a three billion dollar problem and all of the rainy day fund has now been wiped out there's no ending cash balance all of the counting maneuvers that maybe we shouldn't have even done in the first place have been done all the money's been sweep tout of these now they're not only sweeping monies that might have been spent on a capital project they're sweeping monies from agencies that they need for actual day-to-day operation of those agencies and so this is how the problem developed over the last two years essentially revenue has gone down about nine and a half to seven and a half revenues gone down two billion dollars spendings gone up even with the cuts that have been done by over a billion and so you've got this three billion dollar structural problem because we papered over it for a year or two trying to make it look balanced and we used all the rainy day fund and all the fun sweeps and borrowing and some accounting maneuvers and everything so all of the safety nets are gone and the legislature and governor brewer facing the three billion dollar problem capstone project samples State University of New York.