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Do my internet of things world forum 2019 berlin research areas in information technology management for money question of upsc with answer welcome to NY NJ PA weather your weather source for the northern minute lantic I'm your meteorologist Stephen DiMartino while we made it through the week and now we're ready for the weekend first I wanted to send out my condolences do those in the southeast with the destructive and horribly intense turn 80 outbreak that developed over the southeast hopefully your family members are ok and the southeast can rebound especially those in Alabama and Georgia but luckily the severe weather was not that bad for the northern Atlantic now the cold front and the upper level disturbance is starting to pull out of the northern Atlantic obviously the cold front is well out into the Atlantic as we can see under visible salad picturing skies are clear however knows the clouser are developing over the East Great Lakes in central western Pennsylvania these clouds are the result of the upper level disturbance that's associated with the severe weather finally lifting northeast towards the Canadian Maritimes unfortunately you'll have to move through the northern middle and in order to do that so when I'm expecting for this afternoon increasing clouds I salute for a shower but really not anything that's widespread or significant and if you have any outdoor activities don't cancel them the shower will last maybe 30 minutes if that and then it will exit out of the region into the Atlantic so really I'm not really expecting all that much and by the time we get to 5pm a lot of these showers will start to dissipate as temperatures begin to cool overall though not a bad day at all for the northern Atlantic this is a surface map as of ten a.m. and as you can see high pressure is pretty much in control throughout much of the eastern United States can our cold front is moving out into the Atlantic and for this friday afternoon we have that weak disturbance moving through the Great Lakes possibly producing isolated shower over the northern Atlantic as i said but really not much of a significant impact and then high pressure is going to remain control for saturday and sunday with clear skies dry conditions and temperatures in their 60s to lower 70s so if you have any type of outdoor activities go out and enjoy them it's going to be beautiful atlas so you're going to the mets vs. Billy's have you got a Yankees game and you are picnic or you're going on trail anything go up for a bike ride get out there it's going to be beautiful outside unfortunately while April is going to be ending on a nice note may is not going to be starting off all that well this is the European model guidance from the Penn State a wall and this is forced Sunday evening now high pressure is moving off the coast an area of low pressure is over the Atlantic Ocean but that looks like it's going to stay far enough out in the Atlantic not to impact the northern Atlantic in any way however we have a cold front that's approaching from the Ohio Valley unfortunately that cold front is going to be a problem for much of next week notice the area low pressure associated with this cold front is well up in Canada heading towards thoughts and River Valley or should I say the Hudson Bay now the problem with this is that the majority of the dynamics with this cold front is going to be lifting into Canada and the upper level winds well i'm going to show you in a minute they're not going to be very supportive to support this cold front to move through quickly and that is going to cause some problems for next week let's fast forward to monday afternoon and you can see by monday afternoon our cold front has stalled along the mid-atlantic coast now the european model guidance is in strong agreement with other models that basically keeps this front stalled over the northern atlantic the GFS is a little bit more aggressive with the cold front it does have a cold bias so it's something to consider and it pushes this cold front further off because which means that we end up with drier conditions and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s because because it's sunny out the problem with that is that the way that this pattern is setting up that cold front is more likely to stall over the northern minute lantic then stall to the east of the northern Atlantic it's just been one of those Springs and unfortunately when you look at the 500 ml of our pattern there's a lot of rain on the way this type of setup and this is the 500 millibar pattern on Monday at that same time period and as you can see we have several disturbances moving in from the Pacific diving into the southern plains in and moving towards the northern atlantic and great lakes this type of pattern causes two problems one notice the orientation of the upper level winds there from Southwest to Northeast the problem with that is our cold front is oriented Southwest to Northeast when the winds are parallel to the coal from the cold front moves very slowly which is why I have my doubts that this cold front will be off the coast and therefore you end up with the far dryer and much more pleasant gfs solution instead I think this cold front is going to be stalling over in North Atlantic and these disturbances that I have circled here we're going to try to spawn areas of low pressure along that stationary boundary and that means waves of showers and thunderstorms now it probably won't be a complete washout next week but unfortunately with the rainfall amounts already have developed over to northern mid-atlantic especially over northeastern New Jersey where we're roughly seventy five percent or higher above normal for this time of year since the beginning of this year should I say as far as rainfall amounts this could cause some problems with flash flooding and so we're gonna have to keep an eye on exactly how this pattern develops we're hoping the cold front moves off the coast but I really don't think it will and that means we're going to have to deal with showers and thunderstorms on and off monday afternoon all the way through wednesday evening as waves of low pressure move along this stationary front by wednesday evening the final low pressure system is moving up towards the Canadian Maritimes our cold front finally clear the codes so I think by winter evening we start seeing some clearing skies drier conditions and then the high pressure system that will be sitting over the Ohio River Valley well that's going to pretty much stay in control for the end of next week so again we're in this pattern once again where the first part of the week is rather stormy in the end of the week is rather Pleasant we've seen this before and keeps on repeating throughout the spring give or take give or take a day or so so it looks like we're locked into this spring pattern that produces plenty of active weather with above normal rainfall amounts but the temperatures haven't been all that bad in fact for this month temperatures are going to average anywhere from two to three degrees above normal based on the latest climatological data so we've been near to slightly above normal and very wet I don't see that changing anytime soon thank you for visiting NY NJ PA whether your weather source for the northern Atlantic I'm your meteorologist Stephen DiMartino have an excellent weekend write for me researchable topics related to health Fu Foundation School of Engineering and Applied Science.