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Capstone course military order do my cj human services capstone need someone to do my literature review on economics due tomorrow welcome to the real news I'm Lynn fries in Geneva in this report we're continuing our look into the creditor debtor relationship what has or zod been learned from history specifically German history and the German experience as both the debtor and a creditor nation in part one of our series we discussed Germany the debtor nation and the huge debt imposed on Germany after World War one and then the German debt resolution agreed in the nineteen fifty three London dead accord in this final segment we look at Germany the creditor nation and how debtor countries in Europe today are being treated by their creditors including Germany the real news invited German economist Heiner flash back to talk to us about all this dr. flash becca's director of flashback economics he's honorary professor at the University of Hamburg and co-authored act now recently published in Germany and prior experience he was chief economist at the United Nations conference on Trade and Development and vice minister the German Federal Ministry of Finance Heiner joined us in Geneva thank you for having me in 2010 around 92 years after the country's defeat by the Allies Germany made its final reparations related payment for World War one the German external debt agreement signed in London in 1953 London dead Accord was more than just debt cancellation creditor concessions in the agreement included provisions for consultation or hardship for payment limits for reserve and sinking funds this Wells down to the fact that Germany only had to pay which he was able to pay not only was Germany's existing stock of debt dramatically reduced the agreement turned the tide so new flows of debt would not pile up on Germany shoulders if she ran into difficulties in future payments the terms of Germany's ability to pay had been defended by the German chief negotiator in no uncertain terms that the German position was understood and provided for by its creditors is evidenced in statements made in the u.s. 83rd Congress in 1953 by then President Eisenhower and in the report of his Secretary of State John Foster Dulles today in Europe detonations inability to pay their external debt out of genuine earnings gets little to no creditor consideration when unable to meet payments the solution prescribed by creditors is for debtor nations to cut costs to sell assets or to take out new loans as their path to improved competitiveness no provision is made for the hardship this imposes on every man woman and child in those debtor nations no concession is made to limit payments rather than forced the debtor country into new loans to prevent payment default well one of the important points that we've been talking about that is not really understood debt cancellation at a certain point of time but a certain point of time is extremely important for the solution of the problem what what has been done now is so to say premature debt cancellation in the Greek case that was not very reasonable because it was not combined with their with the proactive and pro-growth program well beyond the scope of this report in Heiner flashback new book act now co-author Paul Davidson explains that applying the same economic austerity approach use for a household debtor to a government debtor has profoundly different implications cutting government spending causes a fall in the nation's income that in turn causes a fallen government income where government income goes down like a seesaw its deficit goes up that's why the only sustainable solution to help a debtor nation get its house in order is by helping them increase their national income that's why as a recovery plan for debtor nation and the world economy as a whole Paul Davidson points to Cannes plan had the Accord reached by creditor concessions in the nineteen fifty three London debt agreement taken place nine years earlier in 1944 at Bretton Woods arguably Keynes plan would have gone a long way to correcting the mistakes of Versailles for the entire world economy not just Germany with no such mechanism in place as noted in part 1 of our series and no political will for voluntary adjustment on the part of persistent creditors destabilizing trade imbalances can build up over time between surplus and deficit nations such trade imbalances in Europe today between Germany the surplus nation and the European periphery the deficit nations are key to understanding the current European sovereign-debt crisis well what would we have at this moment of time is we have surplus countries countries where exports are larger than imports which means that these countries are creditors they're crediting the amount between exports and imports to the debtor countries to the countries that have current account deficits and def its current account deficits means to accumulate over time if you have an ongoing current account deficit means to accumulate over time debt from other countries and this involves the private sector as well as the public sector and this has happened in Europe in the last 10 years Germany was the creditor country the country with the surpluses and the other European countries where the debtor countries the countries were the deficit the channel through which this happened was wage dumping in Germany was improvement of competitiveness from the German side unfair improvement of competitors one a competitiveness one has to say but the result is the classical so to say the classical debtor creditor relation in studies of the London debt accord Jubilee Germany explained their view that quote the agreement laid the foundation for Germany's export strength as the country could only serve as its debts as long as it earned money through foreign trade quote the London agreement makes a clear connection between debt management and trade policy it recognizes the economic reality that in the long term a country can only release itself from and cancel its debt through a trade surplus the London agreement leaves us in no doubt that the achievement of such a surplus requires an effort on the part of both debtors and creditors creditors must make their contribution so that debtors are able to pay their debt service from a trade surplus in relation to those creditors creditors must accept those deficits as concessions consciously made in 1953 Germany got quite a bit of debt relief so the mistakes of the after the first world was exactly not repeated after the Second World War because people had understood at that moment of time that to play such an additional burden on a country that is anyway on its knees doesn't make much sense and this is a very important lesson for Europe because Europe we're doing exactly that we're asking debtor countries to repay the debt but at the same time we're preventing preventing them from doing it Germany is preventing them from doing it because it is desperately defending its market shares in the international market it's defending its current account surplus and as long journey has a current account surplus the other countries cannot accumulate surpluses or cannot have surpluses and they cannot reduce their debt in Germany unfortunately this the historical lessons are not not even discussed nobody knows what happened really to Germany would happen to the German reparations payments that they were cancelled that they were reduced dramatically to a barable amount all this is more less unknown and is unfortunately not discussed in politics at this moment of time and so we are not able we are not able to to learn the lesson of the past and to apply the lesson that we should have learned to the European debt problem and so we conclude this report our thanks to Hunter flies back thank you for having me and thank you for joining us on the real news network you you capstone topics for business St. Bonaventure University, Allegany.